Benchmarks — vs. typical 2028 showcase arm
Gray band = typical class range (approx.) · marker = Dungan · Future Games TrackMan
Sat 89.9–93.2 touching 94.7 at the Future Games with eff velo of 91.8 — the ball gets on hitters from a 6.4' stride and a LOW 5.2' release for 6'4": that low-slot/flat-approach look plays above the modest 12.6" ride number. Velo, spin and the slider are all above the class band.
Perfect Game + context — the injury-year discount
22 PG events · 25 awards · plays UP with FTB National 2027 · in-game 94 on 7/6/26 · Future Games physical: 6'4" 174.8, 12.0% body fat, 87.0 SMM
Game stats — PG tournaments (DiamondKast):
| Span | IP | ERA | WHIP | K | BB | H | Strike % | oppAVG |
| 2026 (4 G) | 9.0 | 3.11 | 1.78 | 15 | 4 | 12 | 57.9 | .324 |
| Career (25 G) | 67.0 | 3.34 | 1.51 | 88 | 42 | 59 | 60.0 | .237 |
%iles vs. 2028: K/7 85th · WHIP 84th · ERA 70th · BB/7 70th · K% 29.3 career, 35.7 in '26 w/ 70.4% whiff-per-swing · context: lost spring '25 to Tommy John surgery (freshman year) after touching 90 as an underclassman, then the bounce-back summer moved PBR +115 spots to #101, PG #274 → #167 — boards still repricing · BB% 14 is the dev flag · projection frame: 12% BF at 175 on 6'4"