Benchmarks — vs. typical 2028 showcase arm
Gray band = typical class range (approx.) · marker = Kovalcik · PG class avg FB is 73 — his 92 is the 99.74th percentile
The Growth Curve — +14 mph in 24 months
PG verified FB max by event · PBR TrackMan 2024 season: 75.1 avg / 76.2 max
| Event date | FB Max | Δ |
| 9/12/24 | 78 | — |
| 6/4/25 | 84 | +6 |
| 9/11/25 | 87 | +3 |
| 10/2/25 | 89 | +2 |
| 7/11/26 | 92 | +3 |
| 9/10/26 | 91 | HELD |
Still carrying it into games: 9/12/26 vs Toronto Mets 18U — 4 IP, 0 R, 6 K; 9/30 PBR look: "Canada's top arm in the '28 class… out of the gate sitting 90–91." Two recent outings (10/6, 10/10) with 0 ER / 0 BB marks on PG.