Benchmarks — vs. typical 2028 showcase arm

Gray band = typical class range (approx.) · marker = Murphy · Future Games TrackMan

FB Velo Max

93.5

FB Velo Sitting

88.9–92.6

FB Spin Max

2455

FB Ride (IVB)

15.7"

SL Spin Max

2273

Extension

6.8'

Above the class band in every fastball column at 16y7m: sat 88.9–92.6 T93.5 off real spin (2328 avg) with 15.7" of ride from 6.8' of extension — eff velo averaged 91.2. And then there's the splitter: 648 rpm, the lowest-spin pitch we've charted in this class — Clayton Moore's 916-rpm split was our previous benchmark and Murphy beats it by 270.

The rankings say #260. The TrackMan says top-50.

PG: 92 in-game (7/6/26), 99.8th %ile FB, +17 mph since 6/2023, 20 events, no grade yet · PBR slid him #129 → #260 over the summer

Claim	Evidence
Velo is real	T93.5 FG · T91.7 PA States · 92 PG in-game
Shape is real	15.7" IVB / 2455 max rpm / 91.2 eff velo
Frame is real	6'5" 210 at 16y7m — young for class
Weapon is real	648-rpm splitter at 80 with fade

A ranking that DROPS 131 spots the same summer a kid sits 89–92 at LakePoint with the class's best kill-spin pitch is a clerical artifact, not an evaluation. PG hasn't graded him and has him #447 with a 99.8th-percentile fastball on their own gun. This is the same market inefficiency we bought on Rojas and Dungan — except bigger, younger, and harder-throwing.

Game stats — PG tournaments (DiamondKast, 20 G):

IP	ERA	WHIP	K	BB	H	K%	oppAVG
46.0	2.59	1.24	65	32	25	32.5	.157

Career 2–0 · %iles vs. 2028: WHIP 92nd · K/7 88th · ERA 77th · BB/7 65th · 63% whiff-per-swing · .157 against with one HR allowed in 46 innings. The BB% (16) is the lone dev flag — everything else says the results already match the stuff.

Development — Sep '25 → Jul '26

Ascent Scout Day Plus vs. Future Games · PA State Games (6/10) between

Metric	Ascent 9/6/25	Future Games	Δ
FB sitting	87.2–89.9	88.9–92.6	+2.7 top
FB max	90.5	93.5	+3.0
Extension	6.4'	6.8'	+0.4'
SL	74.6–78.0 T80.2	75.8–78.0 T78.5	tightening
Splitter spin	—	691 → 648 rpm	refining

+3.0 on the max in ten months with extension stretching — and the splitter spin dropped from 691 (PA States) to 648 (FG), meaning the feel for killing spin is improving. PG's arc: +17 mph since June 2023. The 6'5" frame at 210 still projects a full grade of velocity.

Pitch Metrics — Future Games · Movement

Pitch	Range	Max	Spin	IVB	HM	Note
Fastball	88.9–92.6	93.5	2328	15.7"	7.4"	POWER RIDE
Splitter	80.6	80.6	648	5.2"	9.7"	ELITE KILL-SPIN
Slider	75.8–78.0	78.5	2125	2.9"	−7.2"	SHORT SWEEP

Ext 6.8' · Release 6.3' — big downhill from a high slot at 6'5" · the splitter falls off the FB tunnel with 13 mph of separation and 1700 fewer rpm — an out-pitch shape that works at any level · SL gives the glove-side wrinkle

Sources: Prep Baseball Report profile (subscriber data) — Future Games TrackMan (7/22/26), PA State Games Session 2 (6/10/26), Ascent Scout Day Plus (9/6/25) · Perfect Game profile — 92 in-game (7/6/26), 99.8th %ile FB, +17 mph since 6/2023, career game logs via DiamondKast (20 G / 46.0 IP) · Ranks: PBR #260 current vs #129 July, PG #447 (9/2) · Class benchmark bands are staff approximations · Prepared by UVA Pitching · 9/10/26